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For his part, Colon has picked up endorsements from every other elected official in the area, though it’s not certain whether they’ll br sending over precinct workers on the day of the April 17 runoff.

Which brings us to the matter of the Bruces, as they are widely known—Bruce Anderson and Bruce Embrey, two longtime independent activists who oversaw much of Colon’s successful ward operation in 2003. This time around they’ve decamped, breaking from Colon largely on the issue of zoning: the Bruces think he’s been far too quick in allowing condominium development in the area.

According to recent polls the race is too close to call. It will probably come down to which candidate has the best election-day operations. If Mell’s muscle pushes Colom over the top, Colon has only himself to blame for alienating two savvy ward operators like the Bruces.